Dillon Gabriel, Top 15 Programs, Blue Chip Updates, and More!

CFB Roundup – July 13, 2024

Good morning, and welcome back to CFB Roundup from CFB Home – the first daily newsletter that’s all college football, all the time with no bias, no slant, and no fluff.

Current Subscriber Count: 405 (Goal: 1,000 by Week 0 on 8/24/24)

Dillon Gabriel Now Favored to Win Heisman on ESPN BET

Oregon transfer QB Dillon Gabriel has recently surpassed Georgia QB Carson Beck and Texas QB Quinn Ewers to take the lead as the betting favorite on ESPN BET. At the start of the month, Gabriel was sitting at +1000, but has recently improved his odds all the way to +750, passing Beck and Ewers who still sit at +800 and +900, respectively.

Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart finds himself in 4th at +1500, with a 3-way tie for 5th behind Dart: Ohio State QB Will Howard, Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava, and Alabama QB Jalen Milroe all at +1600. No one else has shorter odds than +2200.

At BetMGM, Gabriel has commanded more than twice as much money in Heisman future bets than any other player offered since July 4th. Between the Oregon system and Gabriel’s history putting up strong numbers, a lot of people are banking on there being no clear-cut #1 QB in the country and Gabriel being the best of the bunch.

Josh Pate’s College Football’s Top 15 Programs Over the Next 3 Seasons

Late Kick with Josh Pate’s host Josh Pate recently took some time on his show to highlight who his Top 15 programs over the next 3 seasons are.

Pate defines “program,” for the purposes of the ranking, as a rolling multi-year blend of on-field record, recruiting, and portaling.

Leading the way, unsurprisingly was Georgia, followed by Alabama, Ohio State, Oregon, and Texas.

Florida State, Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Michigan, and Texas A&M round out the Top 10. And LSU, Tennessee, Miami, Clemson, and Penn State make up the final 5 teams on Pate’s list.

5-Star ATH Michael Terry III Visiting Oregon, Texas One More Time

5-Star ATH Michael Terry III intends to take one more visit to each of Texas and Oregon in July before deciding his commitment.

Terry already officially visited each school in June, but Terry plans to head back to Texas on July 25th and will then visit Oregon after before deciding.

Looking at the On3 Recruiting Prediction Machine for the 28th overall composite ranked recruit and 1st composite ranked athlete on On3, Texas leads the way with a whopping 92.2% chance to land Terry’s commitment with Oregon down at 1.3%.

4-Star S Ladarian Clardy Sets Commitment Date

Consensus 4-Star S Ladarian Clardy has announced his commitment date for August 3, with a Final 5 of Florida State, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, UCF, and Washington.

Clardy is looking for a school that can develop him on and off the field to get him to the next level. Florida State was at the top of Clardy’s list prior to taking official visits, and nothing seems to have changed according to the experts.

Looking at the On3 Recruiting Prediction Machine, Florida State has a 72.1% chance at landing Clardy, with most of the rest of the percent being allocated to Ole Miss (23.8%). Mississippi State has 1.2%, with UCF and Washington both being listed at <1%.

Top 10 Big 12 Conference Games

On3’s Jesse Simonton has continued his list ranking his top 10 games for each conference with his latest edition being for the Big 12.

Similar to the ACC, betting favorites Utah and Kansas State are heavily featured, as all of the Top 6 either feature Kansas State or Utah.

Utah at Oklahoma State on Sep. 21 leads the way, followed by Kansas at Kansas State on Oct. 26 and Oklahoma State at Kansas State on Sep. 28.

The Holy War on Nov. 9 finds itself 5th and newcomer Arizona also makes the list in the lone matchup to not feature one of Utah, Kansas State, or Oklahoma State when it travels to UCF on Nov. 2.

247Sports’ Most Likely First Time National Championship Winning Coaches

247Sports recently released a list looking at the 10 schools with the best odds to win the National Championship for the schools with a coach yet to win the National Championship.

Leading the way is Ryan Day, Ohio State, and that impressive transfer class they brought in at +420. Next is Dan Lanning and Oregon at +800, Steve Sarkisian and Texas at +850, Kalen DeBoer and Alabama at +1500, Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss also at +1500, Brian Kelly and LSU at +1700, James Franklin and Penn State at +2000, Marcus Freeman and Notre Dame at +2200, Mike Norvell and Florida State at +2800, and Sherrone Moore and Michigan at +2800.

3-Star LB Jonathan Cunningham Commits to Texas

3-Star LB Jonathan Cunningham committed yesterday to Texas over TCU and Utah, among other offers. Between May and June, Cunningham took official visits to all 3 of the schools, and has decided he wants to spend his college career in Austin.

Cunningham is a high 3-star, almost having a 4th star from 247Sports and having a 4-star rating on Rivals. On the On3 composite ranking, he ranks as the 423rd overall ranked prospect and the 44th ranked LB.

This is only Texas’ 14th commitment in the 2025 class, but the Longhorns’ class ranks 15th nationally and 8th in the SEC.

Athlon’s Preseason All-Big Ten

Athlon has released its preseason All-Big Ten teams. Looking at the 1st team, it is primarily Oregon and Ohio State, with the Buckeyes making up 9 of the First Teamers and Oregon making up another 7.

The reigning national champions, Michigan, have 3 First Teamers and 10 total between the 4 teams.

Oregon DL Transfer Johnny Bowens III Commits to UTSA

Johnny Bowens III, the Oregon DL transfer, has committed to UTSA. Bowens spent one year at Oregon, having committed there out of high school as a 4-star recruit from Judson High School.

When Bowens first entered the portal back in May, he garnered attention from several programs, including Texas, but has ultimately decided to head back to the state of Texas to play for Coach Jeff Traylor and UTSA.

Bowens ranks as the 301st ranked transfer portal player and the 22nd ranked DL in the portal – the best ranked player for UTSA’s 2025 portal class which currently has 14 new faces headed to San Antonio.

3-Star S Marcus Upton Commits to Boston College

Consensus 3-Star and former Syracuse commit S Marcus Upton has committed to Boston College over offers from Pitt, West Virginia, Syracuse, NC State, and several Group of 5 programs.

Both On3 and 247Sports nearly rank Upton as a 4-star, giving him an 89 rating. The On3 composite ranking places Upton 719th overall and 22nd from the state of New Jersey.

This will mark the 22nd commitment for Boston College’s 2025 class, which currently ranks 60th nationally and 14th out of 17 in the ACC according to On3, though, Upton’s commitment has yet to be factored into these rankings.